Bungwe la Brussels-based World Steel Association (Worldsteel) latulutsa malingaliro ake aafupi a 2021 ndi 2022. Worldsteel forecasts kufunikira kwazitsulo kudzakula ndi 5.8 peresenti mu 2021 kufika pafupifupi matani 1.88 biliyoni.
Kutulutsa kwazitsulo kunatsika ndi 0.2 peresenti mu 2020. Mu 2022, kufunikira kwazitsulo kudzawonjezeka ndi 2.7 peresenti kufika pafupifupi matani 1.925 biliyoni.
Zolosera zapano, Worldsteel ikutero, ikuganiza kuti "mafunde achiwiri kapena achitatu a matenda a [COVID-19] akhazikika mgawo lachiwiri ndikuti kupita patsogolo kwa katemera kuchitike, ndikupangitsa kuti pang'onopang'ono kubwerera m'mbuyo m'maiko akuluakulu omwe amagwiritsa ntchito zitsulo. .”
"Ngakhale zovuta za mliriwu zidakhudza miyoyo ndi moyo, makampani opanga zitsulo padziko lonse lapansi anali ndi mwayi woti atha 2020 ndi kuchepa kwachitsulo," atero a Saeed Ghumran Al Remeithi, wapampando wa Worldsteel Economics Committee.
Komitiyo yati pali "kukayikitsa kwakukulu mu chaka chonse cha 2021," ponena za kusinthika kwa kachilomboka komanso kupita patsogolo kwa katemera, kuchotsedwa kwa mfundo zothandizira zachuma ndi zachuma, geopolitics ndi mikangano yazamalonda zonse zitha kukhudza kuchira komwe kwafotokozedwera.
M’maiko otukuka, “ntchito zazachuma zitatsika m’gawo lachiŵiri la 2020, makampani nthaŵi zambiri anakula mofulumira m’gawo lachitatu, makamaka chifukwa cha njira zolimbikitsira zachuma ndi kuwonjezereka kwa chiwongola dzanja,” inalemba motero Worldsteel.
Bungweli likuwona, komabe, kuti milingo ya zochitika idakhalabe m'munsi mwa mliri usanachitike kumapeto kwa 2020. Zotsatira zake, kufunikira kwachitsulo padziko lonse lapansi kunatsika ndi 12.7 peresenti mu 2020.
Predicts Worldsteel, "Tiwona kuchira kwakukulu mu 2021 ndi 2022, ndikukula kwa 8.2 peresenti ndi 4.2 peresenti, motsatana.Komabe, kufunikira kwachitsulo mu 2022 kudzachepabe pamiyeso ya 2019. "
Ngakhale kuchuluka kwa matenda, chuma cha ku United States chidatha kukweranso kwambiri kuyambira pa chiyamiko choyamba mwa zina mpaka kulimbikira kwachuma komwe kumathandizira kugwiritsa ntchito.Izi zidathandizira kupanga zinthu zokhazikika, koma kufunikira kwachitsulo chonse ku US kudatsika ndi 18 peresenti mu 2020.
Boma la Biden lalengeza zandalama zokwana $ 2 thililiyoni zomwe zili ndi zofunikira pakuyika ndalama zambiri pazaka zambiri.Dongosololi likhala ndi zokambirana ku Congress.
Pafupifupi dongosolo lililonse lomwe lingakhalepo lidzakhala ndi kuthekera kokulirapo kwa kufunikira kwachitsulo.Komabe, ngakhale izi ndi kupita patsogolo kwachangu kwa katemera, kufunikira kwa chitsulo kudzalephereka pakanthawi kochepa chifukwa cha kuchepa kofooka m'magawo omanga osakhala okhalamo ndi mphamvu.Gawo lamagalimoto likuyembekezeka kuchira kwambiri.
Ku European Union, magawo ogwiritsira ntchito zitsulo adavutika kwambiri ndi njira zotsekera zoyambira mu 2020 koma adakumana ndi vuto lamphamvu kuposa momwe amayembekezera pantchito zopanga chifukwa chothandizira boma komanso kufunikira kokhazikika, inatero Worldsteel.
Chifukwa chake, kufunikira kwachitsulo mu 2020 m'maiko a EU 27 ndi United Kingdom kunatha ndi kutsika kwabwinoko kuposa kuyembekezera 11.4 peresenti.
"Kuchira mu 2021 ndi 2022 kuyenera kukhala kwathanzi, motsogozedwa ndi kuchira m'magawo onse ogwiritsira ntchito zitsulo, makamaka gawo la magalimoto ndi ntchito zomanga anthu," Worldsteel ikutero.Pakadali pano, kuchira kwa EU sikunasokonezedwe ndi kuwonjezereka kwa COVID-19, koma thanzi la kontinenti "lili lolimba," bungweli likuwonjezera.
ng'anjo yamagetsi yotchedwa scrap-importing electric arc furnace (EAF) yolemera kwambiri ku Turkey "inavutika kwambiri mu 2019 chifukwa cha vuto la ndalama la 2018, [koma] idasungabe mphamvu zomwe zidayamba kumapeto kwa 2019 chifukwa cha ntchito yomanga," akutero Worldsteel.Kuwonjezeka kwachangu kumeneko kudzapitirirabe, ndipo kufunikira kwachitsulo kukuyembekezeka kubwereranso ku vuto la precurrency mu 2022, likutero gululo.
Chuma cha South Korea, dziko linanso lotumiza kunja, chinapulumuka pakutsika kwakukulu kwazinthu zapakhomo chifukwa cha kayendetsedwe kabwino ka mliriwu, ndipo zidawona kukwera kwachuma komanso zomangamanga.
Komabe, kufunikira kwachitsulo kudatsika ndi 8 peresenti mu 2020 chifukwa chakuchepa kwa magawo amagalimoto ndi zombo.Mu 2021-2022, magawo awiriwa atsogolera kuchira, zomwe zidzathandizidwanso ndi kupitirizabe kulimbikitsa ntchito zamabizinesi ndi mapulogalamu aboma.Komabe, kufunikira kwachitsulo mu 2022 sikukuyembekezeka kubwereranso pamlingo woyamba wa mliri.
India idavutika kwambiri ndi nthawi yayitali yotsekeredwa, zomwe zidayimitsa ntchito zambiri zamafakitale ndi zomangamanga.Komabe, chuma chakhala chikuyenda bwino kuyambira mu Ogasiti, (chakuthwa kwambiri kuposa momwe amayembekezera, ikutero Worldsteel), ndikuyambiranso ntchito zaboma komanso kuchuluka kwazakudya.
Kufuna kwachitsulo ku India kudatsika ndi 13.7 peresenti mu 2020 koma akuyembekezeka kukweranso ndi 19.8 peresenti kuti ipitirire mulingo wa 2019 mu 2021, zomwe mwina zikupereka uthenga wabwino kwa ogulitsa kunja kwa ferrous.Ndondomeko ya boma yomwe ikukhudzana ndi kukula idzachititsa kuti India azifuna zitsulo, pamene ndalama zachinsinsi zidzatenga nthawi yaitali kuti zibwererenso.
Chuma cha ku Japan chidasokonekera kwambiri chifukwa cha mliriwu chifukwa chakusokonekera kwachuma komanso chidaliro chofooka chomwe chidawonjezera kukwera kwa msonkho wa Okutobala 2019.Ndi kugwa kwakukulu kwa kupanga magalimoto, kufunikira kwazitsulo kunatsika ndi 16.8 peresenti mu 2020. Kuchira kwa chitsulo cha Japan kudzakhala kocheperako, motsogozedwa ndi rebound mu gawo la magalimoto ndi kubwezeretsa katundu ndi makina mafakitale chifukwa kuchira padziko lonse mu ndalama likulu. , malinga ndi Worldsteel.
M'chigawo cha Association of Southeast Asia Nations (ASEAN), kusokonekera kwa ntchito zomanga kugunda msika wazitsulo womwe ukukula mwachangu, ndipo kufunikira kwazitsulo kudatsika ndi 11.9 peresenti mu 2020.
Dziko la Malaysia (lomwe limatulutsa ndalama zambiri kuchokera ku US) ndi Philippines ndi zomwe zidakhudzidwa kwambiri, pomwe Vietnam ndi Indonesia zidangotsika pang'ono pakufunidwa kwazitsulo.Kubwezeretsanso kudzayendetsedwa ndi kuyambiranso kwapang'onopang'ono kwa ntchito zomanga ndi zokopa alendo, zomwe zidzafulumire mu 2022.
Ku China, ntchito yomanga idachira mwachangu kuyambira Epulo 2020 kupita mtsogolo, mothandizidwa ndi ndalama zoyendetsera ntchito.M'chaka cha 2021 kupita m'tsogolo, kukula kwa ndalama zogulira nyumba kungachepe potengera malangizo a boma kuti achepetse kukula kwa gawoli.
Kuyika ndalama pama projekiti a zomangamanga mu 2020 kudawonetsa kukula kocheperako ndi 0.9%.Komabe, popeza boma la China layambitsa ntchito zingapo zatsopano zothandizira chuma, kukula kwachuma kwachuma kukuyembekezeka kukwera mu 2021 ndikupitilizabe kukhudza kufunikira kwachitsulo mu 2022.
M'makampani opanga magalimoto, kupanga magalimoto kwakhala kuchira kwambiri kuyambira Meyi 2020. Kwa chaka chonse cha 2020, kupanga magalimoto kudatsika ndi 1.4 peresenti yokha.Magawo ena opanga zinthu awonetsa kukula chifukwa cha kufunikira kwakukulu kwa kunja.
Ponseponse ku China, kugwiritsa ntchito zitsulo zowoneka bwino kunakwera ndi 9.1 peresenti mu 2020. Mu 2021, zikuyembekezeka kuti njira zolimbikitsira zomwe zidakhazikitsidwa mu 2020 zizikhalabe m'malo kuti zitsimikizire kuti chuma chikukula bwino.Chotsatira chake, magawo ambiri ogwiritsira ntchito zitsulo adzawonetsa pang'onopang'onoThe Brussels-based World Steel Association (Worldsteel) yatulutsa kawonedwe kake kakang'ono ka 2021 ndi 2022. Worldsteel imaneneratu kuti kufunikira kwazitsulo kudzakula ndi 5.8 peresenti mu 2021 kufika pafupifupi 1.88 biliyoni metric. matani.
Kutulutsa kwazitsulo kunatsika ndi 0.2 peresenti mu 2020. Mu 2022, kufunikira kwazitsulo kudzawonjezeka ndi 2.7 peresenti kufika pafupifupi matani 1.925 biliyoni.
Zolosera zapano, Worldsteel ikutero, ikuganiza kuti "mafunde achiwiri kapena achitatu a matenda a [COVID-19] akhazikika mgawo lachiwiri ndikuti kupita patsogolo kwa katemera kuchitike, ndikupangitsa kuti pang'onopang'ono kubwerera m'mbuyo m'maiko akuluakulu omwe amagwiritsa ntchito zitsulo. .”
"Ngakhale zovuta za mliriwu zidakhudza miyoyo ndi moyo, makampani opanga zitsulo padziko lonse lapansi anali ndi mwayi woti atha 2020 ndi kuchepa kwachitsulo," atero a Saeed Ghumran Al Remeithi, wapampando wa Worldsteel Economics Committee.
Komitiyo yati pali "kukayikitsa kwakukulu mu chaka chonse cha 2021," ponena za kusinthika kwa kachilomboka komanso kupita patsogolo kwa katemera, kuchotsedwa kwa mfundo zothandizira zachuma ndi zachuma, geopolitics ndi mikangano yazamalonda zonse zitha kukhudza kuchira komwe kwafotokozedwera.
M’maiko otukuka, “ntchito zazachuma zitatsika m’gawo lachiŵiri la 2020, makampani nthaŵi zambiri anakula mofulumira m’gawo lachitatu, makamaka chifukwa cha njira zolimbikitsira zachuma ndi kuwonjezereka kwa chiwongola dzanja,” inalemba motero Worldsteel.
Bungweli likuwona, komabe, kuti milingo ya zochitika idakhalabe m'munsi mwa mliri usanachitike kumapeto kwa 2020. Zotsatira zake, kufunikira kwachitsulo padziko lonse lapansi kunatsika ndi 12.7 peresenti mu 2020.
Predicts Worldsteel, "Tiwona kuchira kwakukulu mu 2021 ndi 2022, ndikukula kwa 8.2 peresenti ndi 4.2 peresenti, motsatana.Komabe, kufunikira kwachitsulo mu 2022 kudzachepabe pamiyeso ya 2019. "
boma layambitsa ma projekiti angapo atsopano othandizira chuma, kukula kwazachuma kwa zomangamanga kukuyembekezeka kukwera mu 2021 ndikupitilizabe kukhudza kufunika kwachitsulo mu 2022.
M'makampani opanga magalimoto, kupanga magalimoto kwakhala kuchira kwambiri kuyambira Meyi 2020. Kwa chaka chonse cha 2020, kupanga magalimoto kudatsika ndi 1.4 peresenti yokha.Magawo ena opanga zinthu awonetsa kukula chifukwa cha kufunikira kwakukulu kwa kunja.
Ponseponse ku China, kugwiritsa ntchito zitsulo zowoneka bwino kunakwera ndi 9.1 peresenti mu 2020. Mu 2021, zikuyembekezeka kuti njira zolimbikitsira zomwe zidakhazikitsidwa mu 2020 zizikhalabe m'malo kuti zitsimikizire kuti chuma chikukula bwino.Chotsatira chake, magawo ambiri ogwiritsira ntchito zitsulo adzawonetsa kukula kwachikatikati ndipo kufunikira kwa zitsulo ku China kukuyembekezeka kukula ndi 3 peresenti mu 2021. Mu 2022, kukula kwa zitsulo "kudzakhala kutsika mpaka peresenti pamene zotsatira za 2020 zimachepetsa, ndipo boma lidzakhala lopanda phindu. imayang'ana kwambiri pakukula kokhazikika," malinga ndi Worldsteel.
kukula ndi kufunikira kwa zitsulo ku China kukuyembekezeka kukula ndi 3 peresenti mu 2021. Mu 2022, kukula kwa zitsulo "kudzatsika mpaka peresenti pamene zotsatira za 2020 zolimbikitsana zimachepetsa, ndipo boma likuyang'ana pa kukula kosatha," malinga ndi Worldsteel.
Nthawi yotumiza: Sep-28-2021